Decoded
Feed

Generative AI floods and dilutes the market for books

arXiv:2607.20349CLAICY22 jul 20261 min readHN ×4PDF

Cheap AI-written novels flood Amazon, and every book's slice of revenue shrinks, human-written ones included.

19.2-fold

Growth in quarterly selling books

Books competing for sales grew far faster than the revenue pool.

How it works

  1. Slop assumed harmless

    AI-written genre fiction is dismissed as low-quality and commercially irrelevant. Nobody had measured its effect on the whole market.

  2. Scan every full text

    Ran an AI detector over 14,419 self-published Amazon ebooks, then matched each book to daily sales through June 2026.

  3. Volume dilutes returns

    AI-heavy books took growing sales share and top ranks. Revenue per book fell, even for books with no AI text.

full text% flaggedmatched14,419Amazon ebooksPangramchapter scansAI textbandsDailysales panelMarket dilutionanalysisfull text% flaggedmatched14,419Amazon ebooksPangramchapter scansAI textbandsDailysales panelMarket dilutionanalysis
From the paper